San Diego
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 88.8141Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 5- 1 213 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 6- 8 213 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 4- 3 219 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 7 224 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3-12 226 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 0- 5 306 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 2-10 306 H Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2- 5 406 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Colorado State 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 7.36
213 H Southern Utah 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.85
213 H Colorado State 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.87
219 A Grand Canyon 0- 7 -7 -8 0.60
224 A California Baptist 3-12 -9 -5 - -3.86
226 H San Diego State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.31
306 H Notre Dame 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.57
306 H Grand Canyon 2- 5 -3 -6 + 3.12
406 H Utah Tech 9-11 -2 0 - -2.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Notre Dame 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.57 224 A California Baptist 3-12 -9 -5 - -3.86 226 H San Diego State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.31 406 H Utah Tech 9-11 -2 0 - -2.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Colorado State 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 7.36 213 H Colorado State 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.87 306 H Grand Canyon 2- 5 -3 -6 + 3.12 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 5- 1 -8.47 10.90 0.74 2.80 65.20
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 6- 8 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 2.80 -13.91
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 4- 3 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 2.80 56.89
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 0- 7 -4.23 15.14 0.74 2.80 -4.88
3 A California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 3-12 -6.69 12.68 0.74 2.80 -8.33
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 0- 5 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 2.80 -11.75
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 2-10 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 2.80 -10.72
3 H Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2- 5 -4.23 15.14 -0.74 2.80 -6.96
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 9-11 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 2.80 -16.03
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49.51
|
winning pts = 122.0842 losing points = -72.5748
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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